Energy transition offers innovators a competitive edge
(Posted on 11/09/18)
DNV GL – Maritime has released its second Maritime Forecast to 2050, part of a suite of Energy Transition Outlook (ETO) reports launched today in London. The Forecast provides an independent forecast of the maritime energy future and examines how the energy transition will affect the shipping industry.
“The energy transition is undeniable,” says Remi Eriksen, Group President and CEO of DNV GL. “Last year, more gigawatts of renewable energy were added than those from fossil fuels and this is reflected in where lenders are putting their money.”
Following on from the 2017 report, the new Maritime Forecast to 2050 focusses on the challenges of decarbonising the shipping industry. It examines recent changes in shipping activity and fuel consumption, future developments in the types and levels of cargoes transported, and future regulations, fuels and technology drivers.
“Decarbonization will be one of the megatrends that will shape the maritime industry over the next decades, especially in light of the new IMO greenhouse gas strategy,” says Knut Ørbeck-Nilssen, CEO DNV GL – Maritime. “Combined with the current and future trends in technology and regulations, this means that investment decisions should be examined through a new lens. Therefore, we propose a ‘carbon robust’ approach, which looks at future CO2 regulations and requirements and emphasizes flexibility, safety, and long term competitiveness. With this new framework, we hope to help empower robust decision making on assets.”
In the first Maritime Forecast, DNV GL introduced the concept of the “carbon robust” ship. The 2018 Forecast develops this concept with a new model that now evaluates fuel and technology options by comparing the break-even costs of a design to that of the competing fleet of ships. This aims to support maritime stakeholders in evaluating the long-term competitiveness of their vessels and fleet and to future-proof their assets.
A case study utilizing the model in several vessel designs reveals some striking findings, including that investing in energy efficiency and reduced carbon footprint beyond existing standards can increase the competitiveness of a vessel over its lifetime. The study also suggests that owners of high-emitting vessels could be exposed to significant market risks in 2030 and 2040.
“The uncertainty confronting the maritime industry in increasing as we head towards 2050. This makes it more important than ever before to examine the regulatory and technological challenges and opportunities of future scenarios to ensure the long-term competitiveness of the existing fleet and newbuildings,” said Knut Ørbeck-Nilssen.
The Maritime Forecast predicts a rise of nearly a third (32%) in seaborne-trade measured in tonne-miles for 2016–2030, but only 5% growth over the period 2030–2050. This is based on the results of DNV GL’s updated global model, which is described in detail in the DNV GL Energy Transition Outlook 2018. The model encompasses the global energy supply and demand, and the use and exchange of energy within and between ten world regions.
Latest News
Torvald Klaveness consolidates groupwide digital solutions
(Posted on 31/03/25)Torvald Klaveness has announced the decision to consolidate all digital services under Klaveness Digital... Read more
INTERCARGO reaffirms call for simplicity as IMO climate talks intensify
(Posted on 31/03/25)The International Association of Dry Cargo Shipowners (INTERCARGO) has renewed its call for straightforward... Read more
The Swedish Club reports strong 2024 results
(Posted on 31/03/25)The Swedish Club has delivered strong results for 2024, posting a USD 34 million profit and significantly... Read more
NORDEN adds two newbuilding Capesize leases with purchase options
(Posted on 27/03/25)In line with NORDEN’s positive long-term outlook for Capesize freight rates, the company have... Read more
Enhanced data collection for Western Bulk
(Posted on 27/03/25)OrbitMI, a global provider of maritime software and data products, has expanded its workflow capabilities... Read more
ClassNK appoints new President & CEO and Executive Vice President
(Posted on 27/03/25)Current ClassNK Senior Vice President Hayato Suga has been appointed as President & CEO as well... Read more
ASL sees continued surge in demand for Cape Size carriers
(Posted on 19/03/25)The surge in demand for Cape Size bulk carriers will continue for another six weeks, driven on by increased... Read more
Partnership to enhance compliance and emissions management
(Posted on 18/03/25)OrbitMI, a leading provider of maritime SaaS software, has announced that Istanbul-based Statu Shipping... Read more
INTERCARGO statement on loss of seafarers in Odesa bulker attack
(Posted on 18/03/25)“The International Association of Dry Cargo Shipowners (INTERCARGO) is deeply saddened by the... Read more
DNV white paper on adoption of ammonia and hydrogen fuels
(Posted on 18/03/25)As the shipping industry continues its transition to carbon-neutral fuels, ammonia and hydrogen are... Read more
